工程硕士--项目成本管理--总复习题-论述题

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任何一个项目的成本最根本取决于项目的范围，即项目究竟需要做些什么事情和做到什么程度。从广度上说，项目范围越大显然项目的成本就会越高，而项目范围越小项目的成本就会越低；从深度上说，如果项目所需完成的任务越复杂，项目的成本就会越高，而项目的任务越简单，项目的成本就会越低。因此，项目范围更是一个项目成本的直接影响因素。根据1.以本课程研讨过的2010年智利矿难救援的紧急项目的案例为例，论述项目成本管理的过程。项目成本管理的一般过程：资源计划编制，成本估算，成本预算，成本控制而我国的项目成本管理过程包括：成本预测，成本计划，成本控制，成本核算，成本分析，成本考核2.以本课程研讨过的2010年智利矿难救援的紧急项目的案例为例，论述成本估算的合理方法。项目成本估算的方法：专家估计法（适用于所有的项目阶段），类比法（再采购，生产开发项目计划），参数模型法（生产开发），基于WBS的全面详细估算（再采购，生产项目开发）智利矿难救援采取的是专家估计法，估计法是以专家为索取信息对象，组织专家运用专业方面的经验和理论，对项目的成本进行估计。专家来源：执行组织中的其他单位，咨询人员，专业和技术协会，工业团体。专家估计发的分类：A专家个人判断法，依靠个人的知识和禁言对成本预测进行判断。B专家会议法，将有关专家集中起来召开会议开展关于项目成本预测问题的讨论C德尔菲法，是专家会议法的一种发展，以匿名的方式通过几轮函询征求专家们的意见。沙钢集团揽天下技术搭建“亚洲第一炉”润忠n德国的超高功率竖式电炉、瑞士的新型连铸机、美国摩根的自动化轧机以及西门子的自动控制系统。沙钢集团董事长沈文荣从宝钢的发展中体会到：只有引进第一流的设备，才能出世界第一流的产品、做世界第一流的管理与创世界第一流的经济效益。n1994年，“90吨电炉-高线短流程生产线”由北钢设计院设计出来，每平方米造价2500元，总投资要22亿元。沈文荣算算觉得不对头，要求修改方案，结果投资额缩到13亿元左右，厂房造价改为每平方米1580元。n找江苏设计院设计，要他们按照沙钢的方法设计方案，利用从前苏联以废钢价格买回的槽钢、角钢，只要保证安全可靠、美观大方就行。结果厂房造价每平方米只有780元，总面积达2.5万平方米，又节省了4300万元。他亲自带队去德国，数十万吨的设备运回国后，他干脆吃住在工地上。当时还发生了一个有趣的故事，当设备调试请人又需要支付18万美元劳务费时，沈文荣心疼了。他拍板自己干。安装“永新”时的紧盯策略发挥了效果，最后沙钢自己的土专家3天4夜不合眼，反复调试终于自己调试好了设备。最终，沙钢建成“润忠”这个项目仅花了9.8个亿。珠钢薄板坯连铸连轧生产线项目n国家重点建设项目--珠江钢厂於1999年在广州经济技术开发区举行建成投产仪式，这是中国引进的第一条薄板坯连铸连轧生产线，也是华南地区调整冶金产业结构的一项重要成果。n该项总投资达六点六七亿美元（折合人民币五十五亿元以上）的项目，首期工程规模为年产一百万吨钢水，年产热轧钢卷九十六点五万吨，年产值达叁十亿元人民币，预计经过八年可收回投资成本。n 珠钢首期建设采用的薄板坯连铸连轧工艺是国际上九十年代发展起来的成熟先进技术，全部采用计算机控制。其主要设备由德国福克斯公司、西马克公司和西门子公司等合作制造，具有工艺简化、生产流程短、节能高效的特点，从废钢入炉到热轧成板只需二点五小时，远远小於传统工艺所需的十至十五天生产时间。邯钢薄板坯连铸连轧工程邯钢薄板坯连铸连轧项目首期建设规模为123万t热轧卷板，总投资26.2亿元人民币。产品规格为厚1.2(1.0)～20mm，宽900～1680mm。钢卷内径762mm，最大外径2050mm，钢卷最大重量33.6t。生产钢种为碳素结构钢、优质碳素结构钢、低合金钢等。该工程引进技术由德国西马克公司技术总负责，西门子公司和LOI公司分包电气、自动化和辊底式炉相关技术和设备。n　(1)建设工期短。该工程仅用26.5个月就建成投产，比原计划工期提前了1.5个月，比合同日期提前了4.5个月。在世界所有的CSP生产线中建设工期最短。   (2)投资省。该套CSP生产线设备，包括配套的平整分卷线设备，是目前世界建设CSP生产线中投资最省的一套设备。   (3)达产速度快。该CSP生产线2个月完成设备调试，7个月达产超8万t，9个月达产超10万t，达产情况如图2所示。美国黑克曼纽柯钢厂、波斯莱纽柯钢厂和动力厂三家最快达产8万t/月以上的速度分别为第9、11、12个月，波斯莱纽柯钢厂第17个月达产10万t。邯钢的CSP生产线是目前世界上达产速度最快的。   (4)连铸漏钢率最低。邯钢CSP生产线连铸漏钢率仅为0.5％左右。   (5)连铸连轧一次热试成功。1999年12月10日邯钢薄板坯连铸机生产的第一块热铸坯经连轧机组顺利地生产出第一卷热轧板卷，一次热试成功。1.以本课程研讨过的沙钢、珠钢和邯钢的CSP生产线建设的案例为例，论述资源计划编制的依据。项目资源计划，是指通过分析和识别项目的资源需求，确定出项目需要投入的资源种类（包括人力、设备、材料、资金等等）、项目资源投入的数量和项目资源投入的时间，从而制定出项目资源供应计划的项目成本管理活动。项目资源计划编制的依据：　1）项目工作分解结构；　2）历史项目信息；　3）项目范围说明书；　4）项目资源描述；　5）项目组织的管理政策；　6）活动工期估算项目资源计划编制的依据涉及项目的范围、时间、质量等各个方面的计划和要求的文件和相关各种支持细节与信息资料。这主要包括：1．项目工作分解结构项目工作分解结构（WorkBreakdownStructure，WBS）是既定项目工作的结构图和项目工作包细目。一个项目的目标确定以后，就需要确定需开展哪些工作来实现这些目标，这些为实现项目目标所需开展的工作一览表和它们的组成结构就是项目工作分解结构。项目工作分解结构是项目团队在项目实施过程中要完成的全部任务和工作，但是要完成这些任务就必须投入各种资源，不同的项目工作会有不同的资源需要，因此有了项目工作分解结构是安排项目资源计划的主要依据之一。2．项目工作分解结构的支持细节：仅有项目工作分解结构并不能够做出全部的项目资源需求和计划，还必须知道项目工作分解结构的相关支持细节。这类支持细节信息包括：1）项目历史信息2）项目范围计划3）项目资源描述：任何项目资源的种类、特性和数量都应该是限定的。所以，要制定项目资源计划就必须对一个项目所需资源的种类、数量、特性和质量予以说明和描述。这种描述的内容包括：项目需要哪些种类的资源；这些资源的特性要求是什么；这些资源的价格多少；何时需要这些资源等等。3．项目组织的管理政策： 项目组织的管理政策也会影响项目资源计划的编制。项目组织的管理政策包括：项目组织的企业文化、项目组织的组织结构、项目组织获得资源的方式和手段方面的方针策略和项目组织在项目资源管理方面的有关方针政策。1．各类资源的定额、标准和计算规则：这是指项目资源计划编制中需要参考的项目工作量和资源消耗量的国家、地方或民间组织发布的各种定额、标准和计算规则。在项目资源计划编制中有些项目的资源需求是按照国家、行业、地区的官方或民间组织的统一定额或统一工程量计算规则确定的。1.以本课程研讨过的沙钢、珠钢和邯钢的CSP生产线建设的案例为例，举例论述项目资源计划编制步骤。1.资源需求分析：1.1确定资源需求的分类：通过分析完成工作分解结构中每一项任务所需的资源，确定项目的资源种类1.2确定资源需求数量及使用时间。2.资源供给分析2.1从内部资源进行分析2.2从外部资源进行分析3.资源成本比较与资源组合4.资源分配与计划编制2.以本课程研讨过的沙钢、珠钢和邯钢的CSP生产线建设的案例为例，举例论述项目资源的分类及其方法。1.按会计学原料分类：劳动力资源，材料，设备，资金等2.根据资源的可得性分类2.1可持续使用的资源2.2消耗性资源2.3双重限制资源3.根据资源的自然属性分类3.1可耗尽资源3.2可补充资源3.3可重复使用资源4.根据项目使用资源的特点分类4.1没有限制的资源4.2价格非常昂贵或项目期内不可能完全得到的资源此外，资源还可以分为自然资源和人造资源，内部和外部资源，有形和无形资源。 1.以本课程研讨过的AppleiPhone4的成本控制的案例为例，论述项目成本估算的意义。成本预测是指根据掌握的经济信息和历史成本资料以及成本与各种技术经济因素的相互依存关系，采用科学的方法，对企业未来成本水平及其变化趋势作出科学的推测。它是成本管理的重要环节，实际工作中必须高度重视。其义在于：（一）成本预测是进行成本决策和编制成本计划的依据。（二）成本预测是降低产品成本的重要措施（三）成本预测是增强企业竞争力和提高企业经济效益的主要手段项目估算有几个重要意义： 1.是项目决策，资金筹集，评标定标的依据2.是承包商报价的基础3.是项目进度计划编制的依据4.是项目资源安排的依据5.是成本控制，即项目绩效考评的依据1.以本课程研讨过的AppleiPhone4的成本控制的案例为例，举例论述成本估算方法适用范围及特点。2.以本课程研讨过的AppleiPhone4的成本控制的案例为例，举例论述项目成本的主要构成内容。1、项目成本的构成1）项目定义与决策工作成本；　　2）项目设计成本；　　3）项目采购成本； 　　4）项目实施成本。　　2、具体的项目成本科目　　1）人工成本（各种劳力的成本）　　2）物料成本（消耗和占用的物料资源费用）　　3）顾问费用（各种咨询和专家服务费用）　　4）设备费用（折旧、租赁费用等）　　5）其他费用（如保险、分包商的法定利润等）　　6）不可预见费（为预防项目变更的管理储备）　　3、影响项目成本的重要因素　　1）项目消耗和占用资源的数量和价格；　　2）项目工期；　　3）项目质量；　　4）项目范围。1.以本课程研讨过的日本小松公司的利润和成本核算的案例为例，论述成本预算的程序和基本方法。程序：（一）确定成本预测目标（二）搜集相关信息（三）建立预测模型（四）修正预测结果（五）报告预测结论（六）及时反馈信息基本方法（一）定量预测方法它是根据历史资料以及成本与影响因素之间的数量关系，通过建立数学模型来预计推断未来成本的各种预测方法的统称。（二）定性预测方法它是预测者根据掌握的专业知识和丰富经验，运用逻辑思维方法对未来成本进行预计推断的各种方法的统称。（三）预测方法的实际运用实际运用中，定量和定性预测方法并非互相排斥，而是互相补充，可以结合使用。2.以本课程研讨过的日本小松公司的利润和成本核算的案例为例，论述如何编制项目制造成本预算。项目成本预算有一个重要的功能，就是测量和监控项目的成本执行情况，通过按时段检查项目成本预算的使用情况，对整个项目的实施进行动态管理，并保证项目生产有序进行。1.项目成本预算总额的确定，有四种方法1.1目标利润法1.2技术进步法1.3按实计算法1.4历史资料法（定率估算法）2.项目成本的分解，基本方法是自上而下，有粗到细，将项目成本依次分解，归类，形成相互联系的分解结构 1.1按项目成本要素分解1.2按项目组成分解1.3按项目进度计划分解1.4综合分解2.项目成本预算的调整2.1初步调整2.2综合调整2.3提案调整3.项目成本预算结果3.1成本预算单和预算表3.2成本基准计划，对项目成本目标进行分解，并在次基础上编制成本基准计划1.以本课程研讨过的日本小松公司的利润和成本核算的案例为例，论述项目成本预算编制的原则、依据。项目预算编制的原则：1.项目成本预算要与项目目标相联系2.项目成本预算要以项目需求为基础3.项目成本预算要切实可行4.项目成本预算应当有一定的弹性项目成本预算编制的依据：1.项目成本估算文件2.项目的工作结构分解3.项目进度计划薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆蒀螂袃节葿袅聿芈葿蚄袂膄蒈螇膇肀蒇衿羀莈蒆蕿膅芄蒅蚁羈膀薄螃膄肆薃袅羆莅薃薅蝿莁薂螇羅芇薁袀袇膃薀蕿肃聿蕿蚂袆莈薈螄肁芄蚇袆袄膀蚇薆肀肆蚆蚈袂蒄蚅袁肈莀蚄羃羁芆蚃蚃膆膂芀螅罿肈艿袇膄莇莈薇羇芃莇虿膃腿莆螁羆肅莅羄螈蒃莅蚃肄荿莄螆袇芅莃袈肂膁莂薈袅肇蒁蚀肀莆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