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'第一章总体设计说明第一节设计依据一、2013年哈尔滨市道外区肉牛养殖扩建项目可行性研究报告二、黑龙江省农业开发办对项目可行性研究报告的对接计划三、工程所在地的自然条件或工程水文地质条件四、环保部门要求及意见五、建设单位提供的使用要求及相关设计资料六、各项专业设计的技术规范和规定第二节设计组成本设计为初步设计,该设计共分为1卷,包括项目扩出设计和设计图纸、概算等。第三节产品方案一、生产规模及建设时间1.生产规模扩建项目经营畜禽养殖,本项目完成后每年可向我省提供120头育肥肉牛,为日后的顺利高产奠定了良好的基础2.建设时间本项目计划于2013年实施,建设期一年二、产品方案设计120头育肥肉牛三、产品质量及标准实施健康肉牛养殖,生产优质无公害肉产品,执行GB1654952
一、市场预测及营销方案(一)市场预测1、市场供求现状及前景分析据发达国家的经验,当居民人均国民总收入达到1000美元时,人们对牛肉的消费量将迅速上升。中国2008年人均国民收入已达2360美元,并且从统计数据看,中国居民对牛肉消费需求量确实表现出明显的增加,而牛肉供给小于需求的矛盾又十分明显,牛肉价格持续攀升。尽管从20世纪80年代后期开始,中国牛肉产量大幅上升,从1985年的51.11万t上升到2005年的715万t,但相对于人们对牛肉消费需求的增长来看,牛肉的供给还存在很大的不足。目前,国内众多肉牛市场研究专家都从不同方面研究和分析了肉牛产业发展中存在的问题,影响牛肉供给不足的根本原因是可供屠宰的育成牛牛源不足,而造成牛源不足的主要原因是由于肉牛养殖比较效益的显著变化,能繁母牛和后备母牛数量快速下滑,支撑肉牛产业持续发展的基础发生了根本性动摇。另外,通过对基础母牛、育肥牛和屠宰加上企业的调研也发现,近年中国可屠宰肉牛牛源减少的原因,一是基础母牛养殖户的利润低,丧失了养殖积极性,转而从事其它行业或外出打工;二是屠宰企业屠宰能力过剩,私屠滥宰现象严重,屠宰加工企业利润低乃至亏损,进而通过向后传递路径导致上游的肉牛育肥企业和基础母牛养殖户的利润降低。因此,中国肉牛产业接下来可能会面临的问题一方面是牛源及牛52
肉供给增长缓慢甚至会减少,另一方面牛肉需求将有大幅度的增加,最终导致牛肉市场供不应求的矛盾加剧。特别是九十年代中后期,“疯牛病”、“二噁英”、“禽流感”、“瘦肉精”等事件相继发生后,畜禽产品的安全问题引起了国际社会的高度重视,消费者对牛肉及其制品的安全性、优质性提出了更高要求,优质、安全牛肉产品市场需求量大。2、项目产品的市场竞争优势目前,为满足市场的需求变化,养殖业已到了由数量扩张型向质量效益型转变的关键时期。大力开发和推广真正意义上的优质育肥肉牛,实施名牌战略,增强市场竞争力,将是我国商品牛养殖生产发展的必然趋势。1).政府的支持政府高度重视畜禽业的发展,对发展畜禽业制定了一系列的优惠政策,营造了良好的发展氛围和政策投资环境。2).品牌优势黑龙江大庄园集团致力于打造全国农牧业及食品行业的名牌产品,以拥有三十余项专利和专有技术,生产出国产牛肉系列、新西兰羊肉系列、梅花鹿肉系列、微波肉品系列、熟食制品系列、速烹食品系列、鹿保健品系列等系列产品,成为在全国具有强大市场竞争力和行业影响力的大型食品综合产业集团。目前已形成固定消费群体,在目标顾客中已经形成品牌效应,具有品牌优势。52
3)、资金优势黑龙江大庄园集团始建于1982年,是一家集进出口贸易、现代生态农业、生态牧业、食品工业园区及大庄园鹿文化养生度假风景区于一体的大型民营企业。集团注册资本1.6亿元,资产总值9.9亿元,年产值19.9亿元。该集团资金实力雄厚,具有很高的信誉度和较大的企业影响力,能够保证项目在高水平、高起点的基础上如期建成投产。4)、人才资源优势大庄园集团在长期的生产实践中培养了一批理论知识扎实、实践经验丰富的技术骨干。这将有利于企业能够执行科学的质量、成本控制措施,从而有利于提高企业的综合竞争力。综上所述,本项目在市场竞争中具有一定的优势,产品具有较强的竞争力,销售前景乐观。(二)产品销售方案、营销策略1、绿色食品认证策略通过国家级食品认证专门机构对产品进行食品安全认证、质量体系认证和有机食品认证。举办绿色食品展销会推销介绍自己的产品,提高产品的认知度和可信度,增强企业的知名度。2、广告宣传策略52
利用媒体进行广泛的广告宣传,充分介绍产品的生产工艺、营养价值及对人体的益处,开展印刷品广告宣传活动,主要发表在杂志上,配有突出重点的论述宣传,同时还设计出宣传手册,增加宣传效果。3、国际互联网促销策略目前,世界已经进入信息化时代,国际互联网对于国际国内信息方面已成为行业内可靠的、及时的、对分销及顾客有影响的、对行业景气情况进行预测的重要来源。所以,利用互联网进行产品介绍和促销,不仅辐射面宽,而且经济实效,也是一种重要的营销手段。4、根据地策略根据现有实力,应从低到高,从点到面,从现在到将来的市场开发战略:立足黑龙江省、开拓东三省,走向全国,进军世界。5、滚雪球”发展策略随着全国经济的发展,消费者对绿色食品的需求与日俱增。必须把握机遇,发展自己,要靠自己积累、投入、产出,加大投入,再产出。努力做到在速冻产品竞争激烈时期,不断使企业自身得到发展壮大。6、航空母舰策略52
一是在新产品开发、设备、生产能力上加大投入,形成国内一流生产能力水平,同时,全力以赴降低产品成本,走规模经济之路,创最佳规模化效益;二是在条件成熟时向玉米深加工、有机食品领域扩张,高起点大规模地投入,不断增加绿色食品系列品种,降低经营风险,形成庞大的产品航空母舰阵容。7、创名牌策略企业应抢占市场制高点,夺取市场主动权,实施名牌战略。坚持在高技术、高附加值上下功夫,狠抓技术引进、技术改造和技术进步,以科技为先导,以当代国际先进标准质量为目标,依靠自身优势走引进、消化、吸收、创新之路,使产品能始终保持强有力的竞争势态,不断向市场推进。第四节设计范围一、总平面设计对养殖场区的总体布局(包括生产区和饲料区)等进行设计。二、生产工艺与设备选型设计对肉牛养殖项目的饲养工艺、防疫制度、质量标准、饲养设备选择、饲料购进及配置等进行设计。三、建筑结构设计对项目单位新建建筑物类、级别和建筑结构、防火进行设计说明。四、给排水设计对项目水量进行估算,对生产、消防用水管网进行设计。五、供热与通风设计对项目单位供热和通风的方式进行设计六、供配电设计对项目的用电负荷和供电能力、供电线路进行设计说明。52
一、环境保护设计对项目区的主要污染物和污染源进行分析,给出处理措施和综合利用方案。二、消防设计项目单位的场区布置消防总体设计,建筑消防规范、电器消防设计和消防能力设计及对消防管理提出方案。三、工业卫生与劳动安全设计对项目造成的职业危害因素进行分析,对工业卫生和劳动安全提出保障措施。第五节场址选择选址原则:资源丰富、交通便利、环境适宜、基础设计完善项目区位于松花江南岸,哈尔滨道外区民主镇庆丰村,距江南中环路150米,环城高速东北角,南临东风镇,东靠团结镇,北临浦镇,西与市区相连,中心坐标北纬45°35′11″,东经126°11′26″.场址选择有以下几项有利条件:一、政策环境优势2012年初出台的中央一号文件第九次锁定“三农”,包括:加大投入强度和工作力度,持续推动农业稳定发展;依靠科技创新驱动,引领支撑现代农业建设;提升农业技术推广能力,大力发展农业社会化服务;加强教育科技培训,全面造就新型农业农村人才队伍;改善设施装备条件,不断夯实农业发展物质基础;提高市场流通效率,切实保障农产品稳定均衡供给。52
民主镇重视畜牧业的发展,对发展畜牧业制订了一系列的优惠政策,营造了良好的发展氛围和政策投资环境,鼓励单位或个人投资发展循环生态标准化畜禽小区建设,对标准化农产品的发展基地、产品建设实行单项目标考核。一、地理优势项目地民主镇位于道外区东北38公里处,东靠蜚克图河与宾县糖坊镇一河之隔,南与永源镇接壤,西与巨源镇毗邻,北至松花江南岸与呼兰区腰堡乡隔江相望。地理坐标为东经128度58分,北纬45度56分。地势南高北低,南部为丘陵,海拔在138-183米之间,是永源丘陵向北延伸的丘陵地带;北部低洼,海拔在114-120米之间,是松花江中游冲击平原。沿江地带是沼泽和草原。二、资源优势民主镇2012年全镇工农业总产值达到15.5亿元,镇级财政收入实现1605万元,其中工商税收89万元,人均收入实现8418元,现在已初步形成以种植业为主,畜、渔、商、企、瓜、果、菜多业并举的经济发展新格局。2012年全镇农业总产值达到15.5亿元。2012年,全镇粮豆薯总产突破9万吨,创历史最高水平,粮食综合生产能力稳定在8.5万吨以上,粮食商品量达到6.5万吨。52
近年来,全镇农业生产条件不断改善,抗灾能力进一步增强,特别是加强了对农民的科技培训,农业实用科技得到了大面积推广和普及,科技进步因素贡献份额达到45%。农村产业结构进一步优化,在农业总产值中,种植业比重由1982年的95%下降到2012年末的55%。一、市场优势随着人民生活水平的不断提高,人们对营养搭配、食品质量要求越来越高。牛肉除具牛肉的优点外,还具有无药残、卫生、安全等特点,更容易为市场所接受。目前,无公害牛肉价格呈上升趋势,因此,市场前景看好。同时,加大销售网络覆盖面,健全销售网络体系,除满足哈尔滨市民及周边邻县居民需求外,公司还将销售网络延伸直全国各地大中城市,建立覆盖全国的直销网络。二、科技优势公司以黑龙江省农科院和东北林业大学设计院为技术依托,由东北林大设计院负责为本项目作项目设计、生产技术的研究和开发,包括循环生态标准化养殖基地的可行性研究、设计等,由黑龙江省农科院提供生态养殖技术的支持。黑龙江省农科院是全省规模最大、在全国和国际上有重要影响的综合类农业科研机构。建院以来,共获得省部级以上科技成果奖494项,引领推动我省农作物品种更新换代5—6次,每年为黑龙江省农民多创造效益70多亿元。三、基础设施条件52
基础设施条件:本项目建设地道外区民主镇,位于哈尔滨市民主镇境内。距民主镇城8公里。项目建设地基础设施完善。已基本完成了道路、供水、电力、通讯、污水处理等基础设施的建设。具有日供水6000吨的供水系统、35kv的输电变压器两台,完全能够满足项目供水、供电的需求。交通方便,其电讯、通信等服务配套设施均较完善。第六节建设条件一、资源现状及利用年限道外区是哈尔滨的东大门,南于香坊区幸福乡、成高子镇接壤,东与香坊区向阳乡毗邻,北与呼兰县隔江相望。辖团结镇,永源镇、巨源镇和民主镇,共40个村213个自然屯,辖区面积618.6平方公里,其中农村幅员面积576.6平方公里。截止2010年末全区总人口79.2万人,其中农村人口12.6万人。全区现有耕地49.7万亩,林地面积9.8万亩,森林覆盖率8.47%。土壤类型主要有黑土、草甸土、暗棕壤、沙壤土等。耕层厚度20-30cm,有机质含量2-3%,土壤肥力好,境内天恒山是哈尔滨市城郊唯一一座自然山脉,天恒山森林覆盖率达70%。与本项目关联比较紧密的产业主要是种植业。黑龙江省耕地面积1.3亿公顷,粮食作物产量高达3600万吨,饲料供应充足,饲料加工业比较发达,国际知名企业的正大集团、远大集团等均在哈尔滨郊区建厂,加工能力完全能满足要求。二、场址条件(一)地理位置52
道外区区是哈尔滨市东大门,处于全市8区11县(市)的连接点,东部半径辐射40多个地市县,西部半径连接其它7个城区和1个县,是贯通黑龙江省东西必经之地,与呼兰、松北两个行政区隔江相望,与道里、南岗、香坊、阿城四个行政区接壤。(一)交通道外区现在县、乡、村三级公路88条306.6公里,通村公路实现了100%,基本形成了一个以干线公路为骨架,通乡公路为依托,通村公路为脉络,干支相连,纵横的交通公路网络。松花江流经区内,水、路交通十分便利。(二)通讯条件道外区电讯事业发达,有达到国际先进水平的万门程控电话,长话已进入国际直播网,移动电话和移动通讯、互联网均已与国际实现联网,形成了现代化的通讯联络系统和信息传递综合系统,电报、邮政、特快专递业务也可遍及国内和世界各地,各项邮政业务手续简便,服务周到。(三)供电道外区供电充足,有22万伏供电线路一条,实现双回路供电。22万伏一次变电所一座,总容量104500KVA,目前实际负荷为38000KVA,使用空间大。(四)供水与排水52
供水:项目是以自来水管网和地下水作为供水水源,管井取水。该区地下水水质良好,符合GB5749-2006我国现行《生活饮用水卫生标准》的要求。排水:项目生产过程中没有污水,排水排到项目区环保部门指定的排水沟内。一、企业基础条件黑龙江大庄园鹿业有限公司是黑龙江大庄园集团全资子公司,黑龙江大庄园集团是一家集进出口贸易、草料优化、良种繁育、标准化饲养、肉类精深加工、鹿系列保健品生产和研发、生态农业、生态牧业与旅游观光业于一体的大型民营企业。集团注册资本6900万元,资产总值5.9亿元人民币,年销售收入6.9亿元人民币。集团下设大庄园现代化生态牧业及食品工业园区与大庄园草业、大庄园鹿业、大庄园牛业、大庄园肉业、大庄园食品、新澳庄园国际食品(北京)有限公司、天恒山神鹿山庄生态旅游度假风景区等七家全资子公司和北京、上海、广州等办事处,集团同时还承办了黑龙江省鹿产品科技协会与黑龙江省鹿业协会。集团产业链条完整,发展健康稳定,产品在国内市场占有较大份额,同时远销中东各国及香港地区。企业先后荣获国家级食品安全示范单位、国家级农业产业化重点龙头企业,注册商标被认定为“中国驰名商标”,产品先后荣获08年奥运会、09年世界大学生冬季运动会指定产品,国家级“放心肉”52
等荣誉称号。企业全面通过了食品质量安全市场准入的QS认证、ISO9001-2000国际质量管理体系认证、HACCP食品安全管理体系认证,集团连续九年新西兰羊肉进口量全国第一,被授予新西兰最佳合作伙伴、信誉信得过企业称号。集团于2006年7月在肇东投资1.69亿元,建设哈大齐工业走廊最大的现代化生态牧业及食品工业园区一期工程,占地面积20万平方米,已于2007年9月建成并投入使用。其中建有数条国际先进的牛羊屠宰分割流水线及国内唯一一条经国家林业部批准的鹿屠宰加工生产线。园区二期工程于2009年4月如期开工建设,占地面积90万平方米,预计2009年10月完工投产,届时园区将拥有万头肉牛现代化养殖示范基地、以及中国北方肉牛研究中心、灌制品与熟制品生产加工车间,万头鹿养殖中心、鹿肉食品及保健品研发中心、鹿保健酒酿造基地、食品检验检疫中心、博士后科研流动站等。2007年,集团在哈尔滨天恒山旅游景区投资1亿元,建设鹿业综合养殖项目,目前拥有亚洲最大的梅花鹿场(梅花鹿存栏数量已达到6500余只)、中国梅花鹿养殖繁育中心、神鹿山庄生态旅游度假风景区等现代化休闲度假场所。大庄园集团致力于打造全国农牧业及食品行业名牌产品,目前已拥有三十余项专利和专有技术,现有国产牛肉系列、新西兰羊肉系列、梅花鹿肉系列、微波肉品系列、熏酱制品系列、鹿保健品系列等六大系列产品,成为在全国具有强大市场竞争力和行业影响力的大型食品综合产业集团。集团相关品牌:中国驰名商标、国家级食品安全示范单位、国家级农业产业化重点龙头企业、国家质量管理卓越企业、国家“放心肉”称号、全国质量信得过产品、09年世界大学生冬季运动会指定产品、全面通过食品安全生产准入QS认证52
、全面通过HACCP食品安全管理体系认证、全面通过ISO9001-2000国际质量管理体系认证、连续多年新西兰ALLIANCE羊肉进口量全国第一、新西兰最佳合作伙伴、信誉信得过企业主营业务:梅花鹿养殖、肉牛养殖主导产品:鹿系列保健品、育肥肉牛人员结构:公司共有生产厂长级以上管理人员15人,业务及财务人员10人,现场工人60人,其中大学本科以上工作人员12人。获得的主要业绩、荣誉等:中国驰名商标、国家级食品安全示范单位、国家级农业产业化重点龙头企业、国家质量管理卓越企业、全国质量信得过产品、09年世界大学生冬季运动会指定产品、全面通过食品安全生产准入QS认证、全面通过HACCP食品安全管理体系认证、全面通过ISO9001-2000国际质量管理体系.一、技术优势公司以黑龙江省农科院和东北林业大学设计院为技术依托,由东北林大设计院负责为本项目作项目设计、生产技术的研究和开发,包括循环生态标准化养殖基地的可行性研究、设计等,由黑龙江省农科院提供生态养殖技术的支持。黑龙江省农科院是全省规模最大、在全国和国际上有重要影响的综合类农业科研机构。建院以来,共获得省部级以上科技成果奖494项,引领推动我省农作物品种更新换代5—52
6次,每年为黑龙江省农民多创造效益70多亿元。一、主要设备来源型号及报价设备购置清单序号设备名称规格型号单位数量单价(元)1温湿度控制器全自动温湿度控制器台2189002风机HYFJ台122000第七节组织机构、劳动定员一、组织机构本项目建设单位黑龙江大庄园鹿业有限责任公司,实行董事会领导下的总经理负责制,正、副总经理及高级职员均由董事会聘用任命。企业将按照市场需求自主组织生产经营,以提高经济效益、劳动生产率和实现资产保值增值为目的。根据有关规定和实施方案,实行项目法人责任制,由项目法人对项目策划、资金筹措、建设实施、生产经营、债务偿还和资产的保值增值实行全过程负责。二、劳动定员养殖场劳动定员总计32人,其中管理人员6人,技术人员6人。配备管理人员6人,其中场长1人、副场长1人、总畜牧师1人、文秘1人、财会1人、出纳1人。养殖生产人员20人,其中饲养员16人,其它生产人员4人。三、运行模式52
项目竣工后,由黑龙江大庄园鹿业有限责任公司自主经营,自负盈亏,独立核算。项目的运行与管理,实行总经理负责制,并实行理事会和监事会的运行管理机制,监事会负责监督理事会年度计划执行情况和财务收支情况。四、经营管理措施1)、本项目工程建设中,将从维护生态环境角度出发,围绕无公害的产品战略进行,处处体现无公害养殖和生态内循环的建设方针,立足长远,争取一次到位,避免重复建设。2)、如前所述,在养殖工艺流程中的各环节,将按照国家有关行业标准执行,确保产品质量。这需要在生产的各个环节中均加以保证,公司将在项目的生产运作过程中不断完善各个流程,将其规范化、制度化。3)、财务部门应当协助公司控制养殖成本,规范报账制度,管理好成本费用,严格控制应收账款的比例,加快资金周转,控制财务风险。4)、加强销售管理,积极拓宽销售渠道。一方面,公司将以统一品牌统一对外销售。另一方面,建立完善的销售网络:建立起遍布全州的销售网络体系、省内代理销售网络销售体系以及省外定点销售网络体系,保证畅通的销售渠道。并建立完善的产品销售价格管理以及发货和收款制度,客户管理制度等一系列的销售环节的管理工作。五、技术培训52
为了保证项目投产后取得良好的经济效益,必须有一支技术过硬的队伍。为保证生产顺利进行,公司应有计划,有目的地对生产、技术和管理人员进行不同层次的对口培训。坚持基础培训与业务培训。短期培训与长期培训相结合。通过培训,使生产人员掌握一定的生产经验,了解、掌握一些饲养管理、防疫灭病常识;掌握食品加工的基本技能。通过培训使管理人员即懂管理,又懂生产;技术人员要掌握肉牛生产的育肥前、育肥中、育肥后的系列配套技术,掌握食品加工的工艺技术,能及时发现在生产中存在的问题,又能及时解决问题,并能不断提高自己的科学技术水平,适应农产品种植业、养殖业及加工业快速发展的要求。管理人员的培训:本项目通过技术讲座,到高校学习、进修、自修的方式提高其理论水平的管理能力。培训即懂饲养生产技术又懂经营管理的开放型人才。生产人员培训:本项目生产人员上岗前,集中进行技术教育,安全教育,纪律教育,并选派相关人员到大的肉牛养殖企业、食品加工企业参观学习,学习先进的生产技术,使其能熟练开展工作。技术人员培训:选派技术人员到高校或大型养殖企业、食品加工企业学习深造,以培养提高自身的素质,形成本企业的科技队伍。第八节主要技术经济指标一、生产规模52
扩建项目建设牛舍2栋仓库一座,经营畜禽养殖,本项目完成后每年可向我省提供120头育肥肉牛,为日后的顺利高产奠定了良好的基础一、原材料消耗养殖场主要消耗原材料为牛饲料,年需120吨二、动力消耗项目投产后年需水量60000吨。电量100kw。三、工作制度管理和技术人员每周工作5天,每天工作8小时,法定假日休息;饲养员根据肉牛养殖的特地及防疫要求,需要住场工作,每天工作6小时,每年工作300天。四、劳动定员养殖场劳动定员总计32人,其中管理人员6人,技术人员6人。配备管理人员6人,其中场长1人、副场长1人、总畜牧师1人、文秘1人、财会1人、出纳1人。养殖生产人员20人,其中饲养员16人,其它生产人员4人。五、总建筑面积新建牛舍2栋,720平方米;饲料仓库80平方米。建设总面积800平方米。六、工程建设总投资本项目总投资为100万元,共由三部分构成。其中固定资产投资50万元,占总投资额的50%;运营期投资为总投资的50%,用于架子牛购买。52
第二章总平面设计布置及运输设计第一节场区概况项目建设的目的是建设标准化养殖小区,实行标准化生产,年出栏肉牛120头,共建设牛舍、仓库用房等建筑面积800平方米。第二节总平面布置一、项目组成项目区位于松花江南岸,哈尔滨道外区民主镇庆丰村,距江南中环路150米,环城高速东北角,南临东风镇,东靠团结镇,北临浦镇,西与市区相连,项目区自然资源条件好,是传统的肉牛养殖区,项目区内外交通方便,电力充足,通讯设施良好、齐全,合适发展肉牛养殖业。项目区规划占地面积20000平米,总建筑面积800平方米,含标准化牛舍720平米,饲料仓库80平米。二、总平面布局依据项目生产规模和生产工艺要求,本项目组成见项目组成表名称单位数量备注一、土建工程1、牛舍㎡7202、饲料仓库㎡80二、设备购置1、温湿度控制器台22、风机台1252
本项目所使用的土地由民主镇提供,项目新建的循环生态标准化养殖小区占地30亩,主要用于牛舍、饲料储存房等配套设施建设。达到年出栏120头肉牛的规模。本项目建成后,随着市场的增长,公司将进一步加强技术研究,提高产品质量,进一步扩大生产规模,将技术优势转化为商业优势,使农民增收,农业增效。道外肉牛养殖扩建项目总体规划场内生产区、生活区分开,生产区内料道、粪道分开,根据当地主风向和流水向的特点,生活区建在生产区上风头,根据风向方向生产区从上至下各类建筑排列依次为:牛舍应建在场内生产区中心,尽可能缩短运输路线。修建牛舍时,方向应坐北向南,以利于采光、防风、保温。短期育肥牛舍共计2栋,两栋并列配置,前后对齐,相间 10米以上。饲料仓库在生产区的最下风向低处。三、竖向设计(一)本项目设计建筑物与原有相邻建筑室内地坪标高取同值(二)室外整平坡度为千分之三(三)雨水顺室外整平坡道及道路坡度排入路边沟,由市政排水网排走52
第三章工艺与设备设计第一节工艺技术一、生产纲领(一)生产规模扩建项目经营畜禽养殖,本项目完成后每年可向我省提供120头育肥肉牛,为日后的顺利高产奠定了良好的基础(二)产品质量标准实施健康肉牛养殖,生产优质无公害肉产品,执行GB16549二、生产工艺流程图1、工艺流程说明(1)选牛:选用优秀的肉牛品种杂交公牛,24月龄~36月龄的架子牛,体重在450kg左右,无病且发育正常,杂交公牛进行育肥。(2)管理和保健育肥牛进入牛场后,对育肥牛进行编号、称重、防疫、驱虫、健胃、固定床位,短绳拴系,座槽喂饮,定时,定量,昼夜喂饮3次,冬季舍温保持在5℃以上,温度在70%,氨气小于20ppm,通风良好,每天涮试牛体一次。2、工艺流程图52
本地母牛西杂母牛→杂交←西门塔尔牛冻精↓西杂公牛←西杂牛后裔→西杂母牛↓↓饲喂18月饲养繁殖↓育肥场↓编号↓称重→防疫→驱虫→健胃↓屠宰加工厂←后期育肥←中期育肥←前期育肥本项目肉牛养殖采用快速育肥综合技术,其主要技术要点是:a.根据瘦弱架子牛有补偿增长的特点选择2岁~2.5岁、体重在450kg左右架子牛进行快速育肥。b.52
根据育肥不同时期的营养需要,配制合理的饲料,其精料每日给量3.5kg以上,秸秆进行氨化、青贮和微化处理。c.保持适宜气温条件,畜舍要达到冬暖夏凉标准,以增膘复壮。d.短栓系,座槽喂,勤饮水,尽量减少运动量,强化突育40天,日增重达到2kg以上,同时清除活体牛体内残留农药、化肥、抗生素等有害物质。体重达520kg左右出栏。e.防疫灭病最重要,确保短期、低耗、高效、健康,对胃肠道传染病、寄生虫等要及早、彻底防治。f.应用添加剂,提高饲料转化率,提高日增重,缩短育肥期,提高优质率,增加效益。架子牛育肥,一般分为育肥前期、育肥中期、育肥后期三个阶段。饲喂投料原则是:先喂粗料,后喂青料,再喂精料,最后饮水,少给勤添。喂粉料时用水拌湿以防呛入气管。每日早、晚投料或早、中、晚投料。建有人工草地的养牛场,在放牧前喂氨化秸秆,然后限时放牧,晚上添加精料。1、育肥前期52
也叫过渡饲养期。大约10天左右。刚引进的架子牛,经过长时间、长距离的运输以及环境的改变,一般应激反应比较大,胃肠中食物少,体内失水严重。因此,首先应提供清洁的饮水,并在水中加适量的人工盐。但要防止牛暴饮,第一次限量每头10~20公斤为宜。4小时后可以让其自由饮水。要保持环境安静,防止惊吓,让其尽快适应育肥环境条件,然后让牛自由采食粗饲料,以干青草为宜,且每天每头补饲精饲料500克,与粗饲料拌匀后饲喂,由少到多,逐渐增加到1.5公斤。另外,在此阶段进行必需的驱虫与健胃工作,完成过渡饲养期。2、育肥中期需10天。这时架子牛的干物质采食量应逐渐达到体重的2.5%,日粮蛋白质水平为12%,精粗饲料比例为45%:55%至50%:50%。若是采用白酒糟或啤酒糟作粗饲料时,可适当减少精饲料的用量。3、育肥后期。为20天左右。日粮应以精料为主,精料的用量可占到整个日粮总量的70%~80%,并供应高能量(60%~70%)、低蛋白饲料(10%~20%),按每100千克体重1.5%~2%喂料,粗精料比例为1:1~1:2,适当增加每天饲喂次数,并保证饮水供应充足。牛日粮干物质的量应为牛体重的2.2%~2.4%,蛋白质水平为4%。架子牛的饲养,还要加强日常的饲养管理,保持牛舍清洁卫生,定期打扫,定期消毒,绝对不给牛饲喂发霉变质的饲料,饮水要清洁,冬季饮水中不能有冰,加强牛舍的保暖防寒,做好疾病防疫工作,牛舍周围保持安静,尽量减少应激因素。三、技术来源52
公司以黑龙江省农科院和东北林业大学设计院为技术依托,由东北林大设计院负责为本项目作项目设计、生产技术的研究和开发,包括循环生态标准化养殖基地的可行性研究、设计等,由黑龙江省农科院提供生态养殖技术的支持。黑龙江省农科院是全省规模最大、在全国和国际上有重要影响的综合类农业科研机构。建院以来,共获得省部级以上科技成果奖494项,引领推动我省农作物品种更新换代5—6次,每年为黑龙江省农民多创造效益70多亿元。四、生产设备主要来源技术特点本项目购置温湿度控制系统2套,风机12台。这些设备能耗低,科技含量高,均处于国内同类设备的领先水平。第二节设备选型饲养所需设备可从国内选用符合生产工艺要求,技术先进,运行稳定的设备。第三节原料平衡表序号名称单位消耗量1架子牛头1202饲料吨603其他材料吨4052
第四章建筑工程第一节编制依据建筑设计规范建筑设计手册结构设计规范结构设计手册建筑防火规范建设单位提供的基础数据第二节建筑工程概述一、建设标准1、明确功能分区,规范流程场区采用动静分离的分布方式。场内生产区、生活区分开,生产区内料道、粪道分开。2、科学合理,技术先进本项目技术设计中从总体布局到各功能分区,都立足充分吸收国内外现代化牛舍建筑设计的新理念与布局,选用经实践使用证明切实可行的新技术,使本养殖场具有相应的先进性3、参考的建筑规范1)《建筑设计防火规范》(GB50016-2008)2)《建筑物防雷设计规范》(GB50057-2001)3)《建筑给排水设计规范》(GB50015-2003)52
4)《村镇建筑设计防火规范》GBJ395)《生活饮用水卫生标准》GB57496)《粪便无害化卫生标准》GB79597)《畜禽场环境质量标准》NY5027二、牛舍建筑、结构及功能布置项目建设的目的是建设标准化养殖小区,实行标准化生产,年出栏肉牛120头,共建设牛舍、仓库用房等建筑面积800平方米。1)、牛采用砖混和轻型钢屋架结构,屋顶形式为双坡式屋顶,屋面为彩钢瓦,牛长轴朝向为东西走向。牛舍内采用水泥硬化地面,地面向粪尿沟作2%的倾斜。通风采取机械通风,采光采取自然采光,每栋牛舍的每开间均开设窗户。牛舍:每栋牛舍长30米、宽12米、中间过道1.5米,双面牛槽,槽宽60厘米、高75厘米、槽深25厘米,每头牛间隔1.2米,地面斜坡15度,要求通风要好。2)、仓库:新建80m2的饲料仓库。3)、其它辅助配套设备12台套。第三节建筑防火一、耐火等级:项目中建筑物耐火等级均为二级二、生产火灾危险性为丙类三、项目建筑物符合耐火等级规范要求52
第五章给排水设计第一节编制依据一、室外气象参数二、给排水设计手册三、给排水设计规范四、相关专业提供的基础资料五、工程地质文件地质条件第二节生产、生活、消防用水和排水一、生产、生活用水量牛舍用水主要包括牛饮水、牛舍清洗用水、饲料调制用水,其水质符合国家《生活饮用水标准》。项目拟利用抽取地下水、自来水管网供水,保证供水压力为1.5—2.0千克/平方厘米,满足场区内的生产、生活和消防用水。项目平均日用水量约为200吨。二、消防用水量室内外建筑消防用水量按行业规范查表得:消防用水量为火灾延续时间按3小时计,一次消防水量为324立方米。根据防火规范,消防用水量:室外为40升/秒,室内为5升/秒。按照规范要求,在场区设置足够数量的消火栓。三、排水量场区内的生产和生活污水采用暗沟排放,生产废水要经隔离池排入该场的处理池。生活污水和人粪尿经化粪池处理后排出场外。雨雪等自然降水采用明沟排放。52
第三节水源及水质分析一、水源工程项目以自来水管网、地下水水源供水满足场区内的生产、生活和消防用水。二、用水质量分析根据有关部门化验分析,该区地下水水质良好,符合GB5749-2006我国现行《生活饮用水卫生标准》的要求。第四节给排水设计一、生产、消防给水设计项目区以自来水管网、地下水水源供水满足场区内的生产、生活和消防用水。从水源处抽出的水经检验符合GB5749-2006我国现行《生活饮用水卫生标准》的要求。二、排水设计项目生产用水为养殖业生产用水,不含任何有毒物质,场区内的生产和生活污水采用暗沟排放,生产废水要经隔离池排入该场的处理池。生活污水和人粪尿经化粪池处理后排出场外。雨雪等自然降水采用明沟排放。第五节年耗水量项目年耗水量60000吨,项目最大日用水量为200吨,供水能力完全能够满足项目生产、生活、消防等用水的需要。52
第六章供热与通风设计项目为肉牛养殖场,不需要冬季供暖。项目新建通风工程,春夏秋季节采用自然通风为主,风机通风为辅。52
第六章供配电设备第一节设计依据一、《建筑电气设计规范》二、《建筑设计防火规范》三、《供配电设计手册》四、相关专业提供的基础资料第二节设计范围一、设备动力配电主要供电设备的选择、供电器材的选用和用电负荷的计算。二、照明配电照明配电箱选择、照明线路设计第三节负荷等级项目设备均为三类供电负荷。第四节供电负荷项目生产、照明总装机容量经计算为1200kw,利用系数0.7计,则有效功率为840kw。项目生产期10个月,年耗电量100kw。第五节供配电设计一、供电电源项目基础用电取自道外区民主乡的变压所,由直埋电缆引至用电建筑的照明配电箱和动力配电柜中,线路配置简洁、使用。项目原有供电能力有余,可以为新建工程提供电力保障。二、配电设计52
动力配电,基本上采用钢管地下暗配,导线选铜线电缆引入动力配电柜;照明用电采取钢管明配,选用4平方毫米铜导线引入照明配电箱。照明灯具选用高效节能光源,生产设备用电设备,做好接地保护,确保用电安全。避雷针的接地装置单独设计,接地电阻不应大于10欧姆。除此之外,建、构筑物的防雷接地、防静电接地、配电线路重复接地与变压器工作接地装置连接起来,形成接地网,其接地电阻不应大于4欧姆。第一节电源基础用电取自道外区民主乡的变压器的低压端,由架空电缆线将电源引入养殖场,再由直埋电缆引至用电建筑的照明配电箱和动力配电柜中。52
第八章环境保护设计第一节设计依据一、《中华人民共和国环境保护法》二、《建设项目环境保护管理条例》三、《国务院关于环境保护若干问题的决定》四、《中华人民共和国畜牧法》五、《中华人民共和国动物防疫法》六、《畜禽养殖污染物排放标准》(GB18596-2001)七、《畜禽养殖业污染防治技术标准》(HJ/T81-2001)八、《畜禽粪便无害化处理技术规范》(NY/T1168-2006)九、《污水综合排放标准》十、《大气污染物综合排放标准》第二节环境设计项目区远离居民区和工业区,四周为农田和原有场区,环境现状优良,无任何污染,适合发展养殖业第三节主要污染物和污染源本地区气候、环境适宜养牛业的发展,项目对环境造成的影响因素主要为:生产过程中产生的不良气味、粪尿、冲洗栏舍粪便污水等。第四节治理措施一、环境治理措施建设期:52
建设期主要污染因子有:噪声、施工扬尘、固体废弃物以及泥浆污水等。1、扬尘粉尘是建设阶段的大气污染源主要来源,该项目建设期粉尘主要来自于露天堆场和裸露场地的风力扬尘,土石方和建筑材料运输所产生的动力道路扬尘。对整个施工期而言,施工产生的扬尘主要集中在和土建施工阶段,由于主要采用商品混凝土,则起尘的原因主要为风力起尘,即露天堆放的建材(如黄沙、水泥等)及裸露的施工区表层浮尘由于天气干燥及大风,产生风力扬尘。2、废水a施工人员产生的生活污水,主要污染物为COD、SS、BOD5、NH3-N。b运输车辆冲洗、混凝土工程的灰浆、建(构)筑物的冲洗、打磨等作业产生的污水,主要污染物为SS。3、噪声噪声主要来自建筑施工、装修过程。建设期间产生的噪声具有阶段性、临时性和不固定性。4、固体废物建设期固体废弃物主要有施工过程中挖出的土方、建筑垃圾、装修垃圾以及施工人员产生的生活垃圾。营运期:1、废气:本项目冬季不需采暖,故无废气污染影响。2、废水:项目运营过程产生的废水主要为职工生活污水。项目新增职工32人,生产天数为365天,生活用水量人均消耗80升/天计算,生活用水总量为:934t/a52
;排水量按照用水量的80%计算,排水总水量为747.52t/a。项目厂区排水依托原厂区污水处理站,全厂污水经厂区污水处理站的WSG-F一体化处理设施处理后达到《污水综合排放标准》(GB8978-1996)二级标准后,由厂区管网排入城市排放管线后,进入哈尔滨市道外区污水处理厂。3、噪声:本项目噪声主要为牛舍风机运行时产生的噪声。其噪声值很小,通过采取基础减振、墙体隔声降噪、密植绿化等降噪措施,对周围环境影响不大。4、固体废弃物:固体废弃物主要为牛粪便及员工生活垃圾,牛粪便每年为81t/a,运到原厂区沼气池生产沼气;生活垃圾来自工厂职工,本项目新增职工32人,生活垃圾产生量为8.8t/a,由环卫部门定期收集后做卫生填埋。第二节环境管理科学合理选择场址,减少环境污染。场区内进行绿化,形成绿化隔离带,组织臭味扩散,净化空气。厂区内外道路通畅,方便运送固废车辆出入,并有固定的固废填埋、焚烧地点,做到远离居民区,并且处于居民区下风向,养殖场设计满足要求。项目将牛粪收集作为有机复合肥生产的原料,其余的粪污水采取以下措施进行处理:①粪水中固形物进行固液分离、沉淀、回收,经过处理后制成有机复合肥再生利用;②沉淀后的污水进入一级和二级、三级厌氧发酵池,产生的沼气被回收,供用户使用;③52
发酵后的沼液流向氧化塘,自然氧化(暴氧),经多种水生植物(菱角、水葫芦、莲藕等)氧化吸收,达到《国家污水综合排放标准(GB8978—1996II标准)》的排放标准,直接排放和回收利用。污水处理工艺流程如下:脱氮微生物厌氧微生物鼓风机回流回流污泥外运或作肥料排放泵厌氧池固液分离装置调节池污水稳定池沉淀池接触氧化池脱氮池污泥干化池在严格落实污染物防治措施的情况下,养殖场的废弃物如污水、粪污水等均能经综合处理转化为沼气和有机肥料而全部得到利用,牧草种植、青饲料栽培和场区绿化培植可保持养殖小区的四季常绿。项目将以上述技术措施为基础在生产实践中推行生态养殖,以循环经济路线完成可持续发展目标,同时实现生态环境的合理保护。该建设项目环境影响评价已通过了当地环保部门的审批。项目建设地点隶属哈尔滨市道外区民主镇,远离城乡居民居住区,隔离条件好,对周围环境影响较小。根据环评部门提出的环境影响评价结论:该项目建设后,对当地社会经济发展起到积极的促进作用,项目实施后会对周围环境产生一定程度的影响,但在全面落实本报告表中提出的各项环境保护措施的情况下,其污染物能达标排放,项目对周围环境不会产生明显影响,该建设项目可以在拟定位置实施。52
第二节环保投资1)本项目应做到(1)本项目严格按照国家有关建设项目环保管理规定,执行配套的环境保护设施。各类污染物的排放应执行环评规定的标准。(2)为降低本项目污染物排放对周围环境的不利影响,本项目单位切实落实有关污染防治措施,污染物应做到达标排放。(3)本项目在满足工艺要求的情况下,优先使用低噪声、振动小的设备,减少噪声对周围环境影响。2)本项目为扩建项目,道外环保局认为:本项目所在区域污水处理产生的恶臭为主,不超过国家《恶臭污染物排放标准》(GB14554-93)。本项目纳污水体为松花江,主要污染指标为COD、BOD5、NH3-N,经检测水质为《地面水环境质量标准》中Ⅳ类,可满足其Ⅳ类水体要求,排放标准符合《污水综合排放标准》(GB8978-1996)中的二级排放标准要求。本项目所在区域的噪声可以达到《工业企业厂界噪声排放标准》(GB12348-2008)中二类标准要求。本项目建成后,固体废弃物处理率达到100%,对环境影响较小。通过上述各项措施,使环境质量达到国家标准,符合产业化项目立项要求。52
第九章消防设计第一节主要设计依据一、《中华人民共和国消防法》二、《建筑设计防火规范》GBJ16-87三、《消防法规汇编》四、《黑龙江省关于建设单位、设计部门在建筑工程设计中切实贯彻消防技术规范的通知》五、建设单位和相关专业提供的而基础资料第二节总体设计项目总平面布置要求:一、生产工艺要求:生产设施各消防部位要配齐配全消防器材,电动机带有安全防护罩和过载保护,必要位置装配烟雾报警,设备之间保持0.5-1.8米距离。生产设施内不得有明火,不准吸烟环境温度不得超过40摄氏度。按劳动保护规定,操作人员防护用品要齐全。二、运输要求:运输工备有必要的消防器材,汽车油箱有接地装置。三、场区道路及防火通道要求:场区道路环形布置,可满足消防需要,院内宽敞,并有消防车回转道路。场内道路严谨乱堆乱放,保证消防通道畅通。52
四、建筑物布置:场区建筑物之间的间距大于10米,小部分间距不足10米的建筑物不设门窗。第三节建筑工程改项目新建建筑工程为肉牛养殖用牛舍,属于丙类危险级,建筑物耐火等级为二级,占地面积800平方米,层数为一层,均满足建筑防火规范要求。建筑物整体无爆炸危险,新建建筑工程及原有建筑物之间都设有疏散通道、安全出口。第四节电气设计本项目用电负荷为二级负荷和三级负荷,所有用电设备均作接地保护和过载保护。第五节消防设计一、消防用水量室内消防给水量10L/s,36m3/h;室外消防给水量35L/s,126m3/h;消防给水量合计为45L/s,162m3/h。火灾延续时间3小时,消防贮备水量486m3。二、消防水源该厂以厂区内井水作为供水水源,在原有厂内设有500m3生产、生活兼消防调节水池一座。室内消防系统为临时高压制,为保证室内10分钟消防水量,在该建筑最高层设12m3玻璃钢水箱一座,并配备消防气压稳压设备。消防控制室内设置远程水泵启动按钮,当消防时启动消防按钮,进入消防状态。室外设置两组水泵结合器与室内消火栓系统连接。52
三、消防系统室内消防系统为临时高压制,为保证室内10分钟消防水量,在该建筑最高层设12m3玻璃钢水箱一座,并配备消防气压稳压设备。消防控制室内设置远程水泵启动按钮,当消防时启动消防按钮,进入消防状态。室外设置两组水泵结合器与室内消火栓系统连接。水源井与消防加压设施要求双电源。另外在二级加压泵站内设专线火灾报警电话。通讯安排厂内与城市消防队设直通电话一部。第六节消防管理及协作条件a.定期对职工进行消防教育,提高消防意识。b.建立消防组织、场主要领导担任消防总指挥。c.建立消防制度。明确明火操作申报制度,场区内禁火区(牛舍、仓库、料库为一级禁火区)明火操作,必需在指定人监督下进行;6级以上大风天,全场禁止明火;雷雨夜晚,按特殊天气,加强防火、防范监视,主要领导到现场值班。d.场区消防给水系统为临时高压管网呈环状,沿水泥路面设备地下式防冻消火栓。牛舍及车间设置室内消防系统。消火栓箱设击碎报警和消防泵启动按扭。消火栓直径DN65,水区带D=6mm,长50m,保护半径50m。场区消防给水量为30t/s,108m3/n,其中室内给水为10t/s,36m3/h;室外给水量为20t/s,72m3/h。场区设消防水泵房和一座500立方米的消防水池。e.干草棚在牛场最北端离牛舍50米以上,周围禁止明火作业,在场区下风头。52
f.全场内设防火监视系统和报警系统。52
第十章工业卫生与劳动安全设计第一节主要设计依据一、国发[1988]97号文《国务院关于加强防尘、防毒工作的规定》二、劳字[1988]48号文《关于生产性建设工程项目职业卫生安全监察暂行规定》三、《黑龙江省劳动卫生管理条例》四、《生产过程安全卫生要求总则》五、《生产设备安全卫生设计总则》第二节主要职业危害因素分析1、有害物品本项目为肉牛养殖项目,生产过程中不使用任何有害物质。生产过程使用少量的硝酸、烧碱作为牛舍及食具的清洗剂。硝酸是一种易挥发酸,易溶于水,能以任意比与水混溶。烧碱溶解时放出大量的热,具有吸水性、脱水性和。如果将硝酸、烧碱溅到皮肤,应立即用抹布擦拭,再用大量清水冲洗。严重者应立即送往医院。2、噪声危害本项目牛舍生产过程中使用的部分设备,如风机等,运行时会产生强度超过60dB的噪声。噪音对人们的危害是多方面的,它会使听觉敏感性降低,严重时会成为职业性耳聋,还会引起神经衰弱、心血管疾病等。3、机械危害52
本项目采用运输机械。这些设备在运转时,如果没有安装防护罩或防护装置实效,将有可能组成职工的人身伤害事故。第二节工业卫生措施1、采用安全生产和无危害的工艺设备分析各种危害因素,确定合理的工艺生产方案,选择封闭式容器设备,减少危害。2、对危害部位和危险作业的保护措施在职工有可能接触腐蚀性物品的生产车间里,在极方便的位置设置洗眼等设施及防护工具。按要求配置安全帽、工作服、工作鞋、抗溶性橡胶手套、口罩等。第三节劳动安全措施a.所有车间内除保持良好通风外,地面一定要平整,并有按要求的排水坡度,不得有积水,以免产生细菌b.对生产车间有蒸汽、湿气产生的工段采取了通风换气和除尘措施,可确保工作环境的良好。c.对噪声较大的生产设备采取了减振、隔离布置、消音处理等一系列噪声治理措施,可确保治理后厂界和工作间的噪声强度符合国家有关标准的要求。d.电气设备采取严格的接零、连锁和自动报警等保护措施,可避免漏电、触电情况的发生。52
e.对于生产设备的传动装置采取加防护罩的措施进行安全防护;对于部分需裸露传动装置的设备,在危险部位设置防护栏杆或采用涂色、警示线等方法提醒操作者注意安全。第二节安全、卫生投资项目用于安全、卫生投资的费用,已经计入相应工程概算之中。52
第十一章投资概(预)算及资金筹措第一节投资概(预)算一、编制依据依据《国家农业综合开发项目和资金管理暂行办法》第三章第十五条、第十六条、第十七条中有关规定,严格确定投资估算。建筑工程费用参考哈市建委同类工程造价预算定额;设备购置费采用国产设备价格,参考2012年厂家及供应商提供的价格估算。安装工程费参照有关建设工程概预算编制办法、指标中相应工程概算费率估算;其他费用按国家及地方的有关规定估算。二、概(预)算项目总投资100万元,其中:土建工程投资40.42万元,设备购置费4.02万元,安装工程费2.16万元,架子牛引进投资50万元,前期工作费3.4万元。第二节资金筹措及来源一、资金筹措资金来源:项目总投资100万元,其中企业自筹50万元,申请市级农业综合开发财政专项资金50万元。二地方财政配套和企业自筹能力分析本项目建设需地方财政配套资金50万元,该资金已纳入各级地方财政支出计划52
第三节资金使用及管理按照国家《农业综合开发项目和资金管理办法》及《农业综合开发会计制度》的要求,本项目将建立健全各项财务规章制度,资金按照“三专”管理模式进行管理。52
第十二章经济评价第一节编制依据一、建设年限、达产能力二、工程总概算书三、产品方案四、项目总投资、资金来源及落实情况五.产品成本六、产品销售价格七、按国家税收政策第二节财务分析一、财务分析1)、销售收入、销售税金及附加本项目建设期1年,投产期1年,投产第一年生产负荷70%,年平均销售收入为77.5万元。年平均销售税金及附加2.15万元。增值税税率17%,城建税及教育附加分别为增值税的5%和3%。每年的销售收入及销售税金详见表9-4“产品销售收入与销售税金及附加计算表”。2)、利润计算所得税税率25%。年平均利润总额12.15万元。年平均上缴所得税2.15万元。52
年平均税后利润10万元。3)、企业资产负债分析详见表9-8“资产负债表”。资产负债率最高值为70%。4)、现金流量分析全投资税后指标如下:内部收益率为10%投资回收期为10年净现值(i=10%)为16.37万元自有资金指标如下:内部收益率为10%二、不确定性分析盈亏平衡分析分别计算生产能力及价格的盈亏平衡点,由计算机计算后汇总于“财务评价指标汇总表”。生产能力利用率为63.11%,价格平衡点为93.17%,盈亏平衡点很低,表明项目具有较强的市场竞争能力。52
063.1110020406080固定成本9.179.179.179.179.179.179.17销售收入050.0279.2615.8531.7147.5663.41总成本费用9.1750.0273.922.1235.0648.0160.96敏感性分析主要就价格、投资、成本、产量等四个主要因素进行分析,分析结果详见表9-11“单因素敏感性分析表”。52
-20.00.0020.0新增投资22.8118.5515.49销售价格0.0018.5561.63经营成本58.5418.550.00销售量8.9518.5527.53基本方案的内部收益率:18.55行业基准收益率7.7.7.-20-15.-10-5.0.5.10.15.20.新增投资22.8121.7420.6819.6118.5517.4816.4215.3514.29销售价格0.004.649.2713.9118.5523.1927.8232.4637.10经营成本58.5448.5438.5528.5518.558.55-1.45-11.44-21.44销售量8.9511.3513.7516.1518.5520.9523.3525.7528.15基本方案的内部收益率18.5518.5518.5518.5518.5518.5518.5518.5518.55行业基准收益率7.7.7.7.7.7.7.7.7.52
分析表明销售价格最为敏感,依次为经营成本、产量变化、建设投资,敏感系数分别为12.33,12.26,2.47,0.92。三、财务评价结论经济分析表明,本项目需项目总投资100万元,全投资内部收益率达10%(税后),投资回收期10年(税后),项目的经济效益较好。不确定性分析也表明本项目具有较强的抗风险能力。综合上述,认为本项目可行。内部资料,请勿外传!9JWKffwvG#tYM*Jg&6a*CZ7H$dq8KqqfHVZFedswSyXTy#&QA9wkxFyeQ^!djs#XuyUP2kNXpRWXmA&UE9aQ@Gn8xp$R#͑Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5ux^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmUE9aQ@Gn8xp$R#͑Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5ux^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z8vG#tYM*Jg&6a*CZ7H$dq8KqqfHVZFedswSyXTy#&QA9wkxFyeQ^!djs#XuyUP2kNXpRWXmA&UE9aQ@Gn8xp$R#͑Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^G89AmUE9aQ@Gn8xp$R#͑Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5ux^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z8vG#tYM*Jg&6a*CZ7H$dq8KqqfHVZFedswSyXTy#&QA9wkxFyeQ^!djs#XuyUP2kNXpRWXmA&UE9aQ@Gn8xp$R#͑Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5ux^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmUE9aQ@Gn8xp$R#͑Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5ux^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNuGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5ux^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$U*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89Amv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5ux^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$U*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz84!z89Amv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5ux^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$U*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$U*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNuGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5uxY7JnD6YWRrWwc^vR9CpbK!zn%Mz849Gx^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuWFA5ux^Gjqv^$UE9wEwZ#Qc@UE%&qYp@Eh5pDx2zVkum&gTXRm6X4NGpP$vSTT#&ksv*3tnGK8!z89AmYWpazadNu##KN&MuW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